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SUMMARY:® South Africa’s Operational Ocean Forecasting Developments
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20231206T101500Z
DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20231206T103000Z
DTSTAMP;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20260814T184744Z
UID:indico-contribution-1949@events.chpc.ac.za
DESCRIPTION:Speakers: Giles Fearon ()\nAlgoa Bay is situated at the edge o
 f the Agulhas Current\, where it transitions from being relatively stable\
 , to unstable as the continental shelf broadens in the downstream directio
 n. As one of South Africa’s largest bays it provides a degree of shelter
  from the southern hemisphere’s most powerful western boundary current a
 nd is being utilized for offshore ship refueling operations. The environme
 ntal risks involved\, the highly dynamic offshore boundary and the good ne
 twork of measurements in the bay have led to it being identified as a pilo
 t site for the development of an operational forecast system that would su
 pport stakeholders and decision makers in the case of coastal hazards. To 
 this end\, a step by step approach was followed in order to produce a down
 scaled forecast system optimized for this region and that can be readily c
 onfigured for other key locations around the coastline. The first step was
  to evaluate and intercompare various global models as potential boundary 
 conditions. The next step was to develop high-resolution\, limited duratio
 n hindcast CROCO/ROMS simulations\, using different ocean boundary forcing
 s and resolution atmospheric products. Comparisons with temperature record
 ers and ADCPs at various locations within the bay reveal the differences i
 n the skill of the different models and that their ensemble mean performs 
 best. The tools for the modelling approach have been ‘dockerized’ for 
 the ease of implementation and interoperability of the system. Using this 
 dockerized workflow\, a second bay-scale operational forecast system has b
 een implemented for the South West Cape Coast region\, which is home to a 
 lucrative aquaculture industry that are periodically impacted by severe ha
 rmful algal blooms (HABs). These limited area forecast systems are being i
 ncorporated into a tool to initialize operational OpenDrift particle track
 ing simulations with various site-specific applications (e.g. oil spills\,
  search and rescue and HAB advection). The operational system will be inte
 grated into the National Oceans and Coastal Information Management Systems
  (OCIMS) in support of various decision support tools which promote good g
 overnance of the coastal environment.\n\nhttps://events.chpc.ac.za/event/1
 25/contributions/1949/
LOCATION:Skukuza 1-1-2 - Ndau
URL:https://events.chpc.ac.za/event/125/contributions/1949/
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